The December 9, 2009 test of the RSM-56 Bulava (SS-NX-30)
submarine-launched ballistic missile has failed, said the Russian
Defense Ministry. There have been 12 other test flights since December
2003.
Without going into technical details, which must be clarified by
experts, we must now assess the entire project's status and the
implications of the latest abortive test on the future development of
Russia's strategic nuclear forces.
The decision to develop the Bulava missile was adopted in 1998 when Moscow's Institute of Thermal Technology was directed to develop an advanced missile system for the Russian navy.
Institute management claimed that it could promptly develop a new
ballistic missile based on the Topol M (SS-27 Sickle B)
intercontinental ballistic missile, for the Russian navy. This concept
was expected to simplify the deployment of the naval component of
Russia's strategic nuclear forces and to require less maintenance costs.
Although it is hard to say who initiated such drastic changes, the
press claims that Yury Solomonov, director of the Institute of Thermal
Technology, Major-General Vladimir Dvorkin, director of the Defense
Ministry's Fourth Central Research Institute, Navy Commander Fleet
Admiral Vladimir Kuroyedov, the then Defense Minister Marshal Igor
Sergeyev, Economics Minister Yakov Urinson and Prime Minister Viktor
Chernomyrdin, are responsible for this.
It was decided to deploy the new Bulava missiles aboard the Project
955 Borei class and Project 955A Borei-A class nuclear-powered
ballistic missile submarines.
The first submarine of the class, the Yury Dolgoruky, is currently
undergoing sea trials. Another two submarines are under construction,
and the keel of the fourth Borei class submarine is to be laid before
New Year's Eve.
Initial tests of the new missile and its first images revealed that
the Bulava will have little in common with the Topol-M. The Bulava was
completely different in terms of its appearance, dimensions and warhead
lay-out. Nevertheless, the plan had gone too far to back out.
Eleven full-fledged flight tests were conducted between September
27, 2005 and December 9, 2009. Only three launches, specifically the
first, second and eighth, were deemed fully successful. Two other
launches were rated partially successful.
Facilitating due control over missile component production and
ready-made missile assembly, rather than project funding, is the main
problem. Moreover, the companies involved require skilled, well-paid
workers. However, wage raises alone cannot boost missile quality.
More expensive missiles would be manufactured, unless other measures are implemented.
Some experts think it would be appropriate to upgrade the Bulava
missile and to hold a tender for another missile system, due to be
installed aboard Project 955 submarines. In their opinion, the program
should involve several leading design bureaus, and the most promising
project should be implemented.
This would make it possible to develop another missile system for replacing the Bulava if its reliability is not improved.
Russia's president, who oversees the state of the Armed Forces as
Commander-in-Chief, would be expected to personally monitor the program
because this will ensure due supervision.
The project managers involved should be held personally liable in
case of failure because material incentives are ineffective and because
resignations no longer scare anyone.
Nuclear-tipped missiles largely facilitate national defense capability. Since the end of World War II and the break-up of the Soviet Union, too many high-ranking officials and production workers have become accustomed to the fact that resignations are the ultimate punishment for incompetence and mismanagement.
Obviously, this concept must be changed with regard to logistics support of the strategic nuclear forces, to say the least, because the price of possible mistakes is becoming too high.(Original News)
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